Semi-final scenarios: Eight teams vying for four spots at T20 World Cup

With only four matches remaining in the Super Eight stage of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2024, all eight teams still have a chance to reach the semi-finals.

According to the ICC website, here’s a look at how each team is positioned heading into the final matches of the Super Eight phase and what needs to happen for them to advance to the knockout stages.

Group 1

India – Well Placed to Reach Semi-Finals
Points: 4 | Net Run Rate: 2.425

India are in a strong position to qualify for the semi-finals. A win against Australia in their last Super Eight match will secure their top spot in Group 1. However, a loss could open the door for Australia or Afghanistan to overtake them, depending on other results. If India qualify, they will play their semi-final match in Guyana on June 27.

Australia – Shock Loss Leaves Uncertainty
Points: 2 | Net Run Rate: 0.223

Australia’s unexpected loss to Afghanistan in St. Vincent has put their semi-final hopes in jeopardy. They need to win against India to likely secure a spot in the final four. A loss could see Afghanistan or Bangladesh move ahead of them.

Afghanistan – Still in the Mix
Points: 2 | Net Run Rate: -0.650

Afghanistan’s victory over Australia has kept their semi-final hopes alive. A win against Bangladesh in their final match could see them advance, especially if India defeats Australia. They will know exactly what is required when they face Bangladesh.

Bangladesh – Could Still Reach Final Four
Points: 0 | Net Run Rate: -2.489

Bangladesh remains in contention thanks to Afghanistan’s win over Australia. They need to beat Afghanistan in their final match and hope India defeats Australia. Additionally, they must win by a significant margin to boost their net run rate.

Group 2

South Africa – In Box Seat for Semi-Finals
Points: 4 | Net Run Rate: 0.625

South Africa remains undefeated but must beat the West Indies to ensure their spot in the semi-finals. A loss could jeopardize their position, despite their current standing.

West Indies – Destiny in Their Own Hands
Points: 2 | Net Run Rate: 1.814

The West Indies need to defeat South Africa to advance. They could still qualify with a loss, but would then need the USA to beat England and have a superior net run rate compared to both teams.

England – In Contention for Semi-Finals
Points: 2 | Net Run Rate: 0.412

A win against the USA should see England through to the semi-finals. However, a narrow win coupled with a close West Indies victory could see England miss out on net run rate.

USA – Need a Miracle to Qualify
Points: 0 | Net Run Rate: -2.908

The USA still has a mathematical chance to qualify, but it would require a significant victory over England and a similarly large win by South Africa over the West Indies to improve their net run rate sufficiently.

As the tournament reaches its critical phase, every match will be decisive in determining which teams advance to the semi-finals.